HIV-related mortality in the United States during the COVID-19 pandemic: A population-based study.

BACKGROUND: US progress toward ending the HIV epidemic was disrupted during the COVID-19 pandemic. OBJECTIVES: To determine the impact of the pandemic on HIV-related mortality and potential disparities. METHODS: Using data from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention and the United States (US) Census Bureau, HIV-related mortality data of decedents aged ≥25 years between 2012 and 2021 were analyzed. Excess HIV-related mortality rates were estimated by determining the difference between observed and projected mortality rates during the pandemic. The trends of mortality were quantified with joinpoint regression analysis. RESULTS: Of the 79,725 deaths documented in adults aged 25 years and older between 2012 and 2021, a significant downward trend was noted in HIV-related mortality rates before the pandemic, followed by a surge during the pandemic. The observed mortality rates were 18.8% (95% confidence interval [CI]: 13.1%-25.5%) and 25.4% (95%CI: 19.9%-30.4%) higher than the projected values in 2020 and 2021, respectively. Both of these percentages were higher than that in the general population in 2020 (16.4%, 95%CI: 14.9%-17.9%) and 2021 (19.8%, 95%CI: 18.0%-21.6%), respectively. Increased HIV-related mortality was observed across all age subgroups, but those aged 25-44 years demonstrated the greatest relative increase and the lowest COVID-19-related deaths when compared to middle- and old-aged decedents. Disparities were observed across racial/ethnic subgroups and geographic regions. CONCLUSIONS: The pandemic led to a reversal in the attainments made to reduce the prevalence of HIV. Individuals living with HIV were disproportionately affected during the pandemic. Thoughtful policies are needed to address the disparity in excess HIV-related mortality.

Impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on liver disease-related mortality rates in the United States.

BACKGROUND: The pandemic has resulted in an increase of deaths not directly related to COVID-19 infection. We aimed to use a national death dataset to determine the impact of the pandemic on people with liver disease in the U.S, focusing on alcohol-associated liver disease (ALD) and non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD). METHODS: Using data from the National Vital Statistic System from the CDC WONDER platform and ICD-10 codes, we identified deaths associated with liver disease. We evaluated observed versus predicted mortality for 2020-2021 based on trends from 2010-2019 with joinpoint and prediction modeling analysis. RESULTS: Among 626,090 chronic liver disease-related deaths between 2010 and 2021, Age-standardized mortality rates (ASMR) for ALD dramatically increased between 2010-2019 and 2020-2021 (annual percentage change [APC] 3.5% to 17.6%, P<0.01), leading to a higher observed ASMR (per 100,000 persons) than predicted for 2020 (15.67 vs.13.04) and 2021 (17.42 vs.13.41). ASMR for NAFLD also increased during the pandemic (APC:14.5%), while the rates for hepatitis B and C decreased. Notably, the ASMR rise for ALD was most pronounced in non-Hispanic Whites, Blacks, and Alaska Indians/Native Americans (APC: 11.7%, 10.8%, 18.0%, all P<0.05), with similar but less critical findings for NAFLD while rates were steady for non-Hispanic Asians throughout 2010-2021 (APC: 4.9%). The ASMR rise for ALD was particularly severe for the 25-44 age group (APC: 34.6%, versus 13.7% and 12.6% for 45-64 and ≥65, all P<0.01), which were also all higher than pre-COVID-19 rates (all P<0.01). CONCLUSIONS: ASMR for ALD and NAFLD increased at an alarming rate during the COVID-19 pandemic with the largest disparities among the young, non-Hispanic White, and Alaska Indian/Native American populations. LAY SUMMARY: The impact of the pandemic on people with liver disease in the U.S remains unclear. This study indicated that age-standardized mortality rates for alcohol associated liver disease and non-alcohol fatty liver disease greatly accelerated during the COVID-19 pandemic with the largest disparities among the young, non-Hispanic White, and Alaska Indian/Native American populations. Increasing awareness about the care importance of chronic liver disease in specific populations must be prioritized.